Saturday, April 25, 2020

PRACRITI: IIT-Delhi develops dashboard to predict COVID-19 cases before 3 weeks


Researchers from IIT Delhi have developed web-based dashboard to predict the spread of COVID-19 in India. The dashboard has been named PRACRITI-Prediction and Assessment of Corona Infections and Transmissions in India.

Highlights

  • The dashboard provides detailed district-wise and state-wise predictions of COVID-19. The dashboard provides basic reproduction number “R naught”. 
  • R0 is the number of people that the virus spreads to from a single infected person.
  • The dashboard provides R0 value for every district, state based on the data available from the National Disaster Management Authority, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare and World Health Organization.
  • Hence, with the help of R0 value, future predictions of the spread of the disease can be obtained.

About the dashboard

  • The dashboard divides mathematical model into four classes namely exposed, susceptible, infected and removed. 
  • Susceptible are those people that are not exposed to the virus. Exposed are those people that are exposed to the infected person. 
  • Infected are those that are infected by the virus and removed are those that are no longer the carrier of the virus.

Significance

  • The dashboard will help in better governance of COVID-19. It will help governments to frame their policies.

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